What the local election results have shown us

The party is over for UKIP. If UKIP had got its act together after last year's referendum, there was a chance that it could have survived Thursday's mauling at the polls. Instead, the party went on a prolonged period of internecine warfare. The idea that UKIP voters loaned their vote to the Conservatives because of [...]

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Tees Valley Mayoral result suggests Tory gains in the general election

I have to say that I was surprised when I heard that Ben Houchen had been elected as the new Mayor of the Tees Valley. Surprised, but very pleased. When you consider that this area covers Middlesbrough, Stockton-on-Tees, Hartlepool, and Darlington, it points the way to Conservative gains in Darlington and Hartlepool in the general [...]

Early thoughts on the local election results

With very few votes counted overnight, we only have a small snapshot this morning, but the the snapshot does paint a picture. My predictions in Labour marginals have relied on a substantial drop in the UKIP vote combined with a direct swing from Labour to the Conservatives. This is what has happened in Lincolnshire, with [...]